Britain may face snowfall in October as indicated by weather modeling maps. The GFS model projections suggest snowfall rates of approximately 4cm per hour in certain parts of Scotland on October 13, with flurries expected from early morning into the day. Lighter snow flurries are also anticipated in northern England, particularly in the Pennines region.
The maps indicate that a significant area of northern and central Scotland could witness up to 1cm of snow accumulation by midday on October 13. However, snow is unlikely to settle in southern Scotland or the northern areas of England.
According to the Met Office, the upcoming month is expected to bring unsettled weather conditions. The forecast for October 13 to 27 predicts more unsettled weather concentrated in northern regions, while drier intervals are expected in the south, potentially leading to overnight frost and fog.
The forecast suggests a shift towards more unsettled weather across the UK, with frequent spells of wet and windy conditions affecting a larger part of the country. With prevailing westerly winds, temperatures are projected to be slightly above normal, leading to relatively mild overnight temperatures and reduced instances of overnight fog compared to usual.
Despite the snow indications in the GFS model maps, BBC Weather’s outlook for October 13 to 26 suggests that temperatures are not likely to drop significantly across Britain. The forecast highlights uncertainties in the following weeks, with varying models and the possibility of ex-tropical cyclones affecting weather patterns.
There is a chance of high pressure influencing dry conditions for a period, with rainfall potentially more prevalent in north-western regions. While risks of overnight fog and frost exist, significant cold temperatures are not expected, with overall temperatures near normal or slightly above. Towards late October, a weakening high pressure system could pave the way for wetter and windier periods, with temperature fluctuations.